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Erik Dolson's avatar

From Jon Renner via email:

rik,

I'm not sure that this is a new thing at all.  When distant ancestors

began hunting in groups, individuals were subsumed in the group ... and

hunting improved.  When one ox was used to turn different families'

dirt, agriculture improved and the cleverest hunter/gatherers were

included in the larger group ... and many other things improved. 

Including fortunes of the guy who "owned" the ox. 

And when society started educating the masses, the scribes that were

at one time the only people that could read had to find different ways to put bread on the

table ... tables that they generally didn't know how to make

themselves.  They were either absorbed with different roles or went

hungry in other different roles.

I do think that AI is on a different level than even the agricultural or

industrial revolutions though, and it seems to me that we're approaching

a real step change or paradigm shift ... and I think that even the

wildest predictions about what's coming next may be inadequate.

Will the underclass of the global population become even larger ... or even

almost 99.99% of the population ... while the tiny population at the top

evolve into something completely "other?"  Or will we really capture

enough energy from the sun that machines can do whatever everyone wishes

... and find a way to eliminate the Seven Deadly Sins, living forever in

peace and harmony?  Or will something completely different happen?  Not

a clue here.

And still, I love a good apple pie.  And if a pie looks good and smells

good I'm very likely to take at least one bite.  Even if the apples

contain pesticides and micro-plastics, and the butter in the crust will

surely clog my arteries.  We live in hope.

Jon

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